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Poverty and Vulnerability Dynamics in Myanmar

Myanmar has suffered, along with the rest of the world, from the devastating impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. Additionally, it has had to contend with the instability and violence induced by the military coup of February 2021. By September 2021, the United Nations was warning of a human rights ‘catastrophe’ in the country, arising from a mix of widespread violence, food insecurity and rapidly rising poverty. Ines A. Ferreira, Vincenzo Salvucci and Finn Tarp share insights from our research in the country to identify the characteristics of households particularly vulnerable to falling into poverty – insights that can play a crucial role in the design and delivery of optimally-targeted humanitarian efforts.

2 fishermen boats in a lake- Bangladesh

In focus: John Hoddinott (Impact Evaluations lead)

John Hoddinott (Professor, Cornell University and Impact Evaluations lead on our programme) grew up dreaming of being an ice hockey player but ended up dedicating his life to understanding the causes and consequences of poverty, hunger and undernutrition in developing countries.

Poverty in Tanzania: significant movement but no net gain

Using innovative statistical methods, we reveal that Tanzania’s steady national poverty rate masks a much more precarious reality for households.

Poverty in Myanmar: upward mobility has been likely for many – but not for all

By applying innovative statistical methods to Myanmar’s most recent survey data, we reveal the factors that may have made escaping poverty more or less likely for different households.

Poverty in Mozambique: immobility and widespread vulnerability

Using innovative statistical methods, we provide new insights into Mozambique’s existing household data and reveal a more complex picture of poverty persistence and widespread vulnerability.

Poverty in Ethiopia: worrying patterns of persistence

New DEEP analysis reveals worrying patterns of persistent poverty in Ethiopia – including among households that have been hard hit by the COVID-19 pandemic’s socioeconomic impacts.